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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
Guingamp
U U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Grenoble
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Grenoble
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 28%
34%
21%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
59%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
48%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

74% Possession 26%
22 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · Grenoble 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 29 17 7 5 +21 58
2 St Etienne 29 16 6 7 +21 54
3 Le Mans 29 14 11 4 +16 53
4 Reims 29 12 11 6 +15 47
5 Red Star 28 12 9 7 +5 45
6 Rodez 29 11 12 6 +2 45
7 Montpellier 29 12 7 10 +8 43
8 Annecy 29 12 6 11 +2 42
9 Dunkerque 29 10 10 9 +9 40
10 Guingamp 29 10 9 10 -3 39
11 Pau FC 29 10 9 10 -8 39
12 Boulogne 29 9 8 12 -8 35
13 Grenoble 29 6 13 10 -7 31
14 Clermont 29 7 8 14 -7 29
15 Nancy 29 7 8 14 -16 29
16 Amiens 29 6 6 17 -17 24
17 Laval 29 4 12 13 -17 24
18 Bastia 28 3 12 13 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Grenoble
16′
C. Vidal 0–1
B. Mouazan
18′
🟨 Mattheo Xantippe
33′
🟨 Gaëtan Paquiez
Kalidou Sidibé 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Clement Vidal
Half-time 0–1
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ A. Samoura
58′
Y. Demoncy 🔁
↦ F. Mbemba
59′
1–1 L. Mafouta
65′
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
70′
70′
🔁 E. Maurin
↦ N. Zahui
70′
🔁 U. Bonnet
↦ M. Djitte
75′
🔁 L. Bernadou
↦ B. Mouazan
J. Matumona 🔁
↦ A. Sissoko
76′
76′
🔁 S. Diba
↦ M. Xantippe
Sohaib Nair 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
29 A. Abdallah D
17 F. Mbemba M
8 K. Sidibe M
4 D. Louiserre M
19 A. Samoura M
9 L. Mafouta F
27 S. Kielt F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
21 Y. Demoncy
2 E. Koffi
36 A. Demouchy
39 T. Ahile
11 A. Sagna
3 J. Matumona

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Grenoble

4-4-1-1
13 M. Diop G
29 G. Paquiez D
24 L. Mouyokolo D
5 C. Vidal D
26 M. Mion D
19 N. Zahui M
8 J. Benet M
27 M. Xantippe M
7 Y. Diaby M
10 B. Mouazan F
2 M. Djitte F
Bench (7)
16 B. Allain
6 L. Bernadou
30 S. Diba
20 E. Maurin
22 A. L. N'Gatta
12 U. Bonnet
4 S. Mambo

Coach: Frederic Gueguen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,68
U ✓
3,64
B
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.