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League Cup
Referee: D Brown
Bradford
T S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Rochdale
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bradford Rochdale
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
23 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bradford Rochdale
22′
🟨 Devante Rodney
1–0 W. Swan
45′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 E. Francis
↦ D. Rodney
63′
🔁 D. Brown
↦ E. Dieseruvwe
63′
🔁 K. Wilson
↦ S. Sherring
2–0 A. Baldwin
C. Connolly
67′
N. Powell 🔁
↦ J. Beesley
72′
B. Pointon 🔁
↦ W. Swan
72′
A. Phillips 🔁
↦ K. Jackson
72′
77′
🟨 Dajaune Brown
78′
🔁 D. Moss
↦ B. Bilongo
I. Touray 🔁
↦ T. Wright
80′
R. Welch 🔁
↦ A. Baldwin
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bradford

3-4-2-1
21 J. McCracken G
28 M. Pennington D
15 A. Baldwin D
5 M. Gillesphey D
7 J. Neufville M
10 A. Sarcevic M
6 C. Connolly M
17 T. Wright M
19 K. Jackson F
24 W. Swan F
9 J. Beesley F
Bench (9)
1 S. Walker
25 N. Powell
4 J. Wright
2 R. Welch
23 B. Pointon
29 H. Ibbitson
3 I. Touray
8 A. Phillips
30 O. Lunn

Coach: Graham Alexander

Rochdale

4-2-3-1
1 N. Ramming G
13 T. Adebayo-Rowling D
6 E. Ebanks-Landell D
26 S. Sherring D
27 B. Bilongo D
4 R. East M
8 H. Gilmour M
11 Z. Silcott-Duberry M
10 D. Rodney M
19 L. Hannant M
9 E. Dieseruvwe F
Bench (7)
20 S. Waller
12 J. Spaven
39 D. Brown
22 D. Moss
3 K. Wilson
14 E. Francis
54 T. Bradley

Coach: Jim McNulty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.