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League Cup
Referee: A Chilowicz
Leyton Orient
U T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Oxford
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leyton Orient Oxford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leyton Orient Oxford
Fin Stevens 🟨
27′
36′
🟨 Aidomo Emakhu
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 G. O'Donkor
↦ S. Dembele
D. Mitchell 🔁
↦ A. Dobra
70′
T. Springett 🔁
↦ Y. Akhamrich
70′
J. Kabia 🔁
↦ T. Archibald
70′
74′
🔁 L. Sibley
↦ J. McDonnell
74′
🔁 A. Elliott-Wheeler
↦ T. Goodrham
J. Morris 🔁
↦ S. Boniface
77′
C. Wellens 🔁
↦ Z. Obiero
84′
1–0 D. Mitchell
T. Springett
85′
87′
🔁 P. Kioso
↦ B. Spencer
87′
🔁 L. Snowden
↦ M. Harris
2–0 I. El Mizouni
C. Wellens
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Leyton Orient

4-2-3-1
1 N. Baxter G
2 F. Stevens D
5 J. Olowu D
34 P. Chinedu D
19 S. Boniface D
14 I. Hayden M
8 I. El Mizouni M
22 Y. Akhamrich M
29 Z. Obiero M
17 A. Dobra M
44 T. Archibald F
Bench (9)
13 N. Phillips
11 D. Mitchell
24 D. Levitt
27 T. Springett
28 S. Clare
3 J. Morris
9 J. Kabia
25 C. Wellens
43 J. Lowe

Coach: Richie Wellens

Oxford

1 J. Cumming G
15 B. Spencer D
2 S. Long D
3 C. Brown D
26 J. Currie D
18 J. McDonnell M
8 C. Brannagan M
10 A. Emakhu M
11 T. Goodrham M
23 S. Dembele M
9 M. Harris F
Bench (9)
13 S. Eastwood
6 M. Helik
32 L. Sibley
30 P. Kioso
19 G. O'Donkor
25 J. Golding
27 L. Snowden
37 A. Elliott-Wheeler
44 H. Bradney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.