League Cup
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Salford City
Shrewsbury
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wolves
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crawley Town
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |
Stevenage
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Cambridge United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Walsall
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Tranmere
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 8 |
Rochdale
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 9 |
QPR
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Millwall
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Wycombe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Barnet
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Wrexham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Bristol City
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |
York
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Port Vale
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Karl Robinson
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man City
Salford City
Salford City
Swindon Town
Salford City
Leyton Orient
Salford City
Lincoln
Salford City
Rotherham
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.