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League Cup
Referee: L Doughty
1–1
Full-time
Doncaster
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stockport County Doncaster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
18 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Rochdale 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.