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Ligue 2
Referee: P Gaillouste
Montpellier
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Red Star
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
6 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
7 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
🔒
U ✓
3,43
🔒
B
3,72
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,88
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.