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Ligue 1
Referee: P Gaillouste
Montpellier
T U T T T
3–2
Full-time
Troyes
T S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 10
7 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jan -22 Montpellier – Troyes 0–1 19. Sep -21 Troyes – Montpellier 1–1 12. May -18 Montpellier – Troyes 1–1 16. Sep -17 Troyes – Montpellier 0–1 24. Apr -16 Montpellier – Troyes 4–1

Match report

Montpellier Troyes
1–0 T. Sainte-Luce ⚽
F. Maouassa
3′
12′
⚽ F. Tardieu 1–1
2–1 T. Savanier ⚽
15′
17′
⚽ Mama Baldé 2–2
A. Bruus
B. Makouana 🔁
↦ S. Mavididi
30′
Half-time 2–2
Béni Makouana 🟨
52′
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ F. Maouassa
78′
N. Cozza 🔁
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
79′
M. Estève 🔁
↦ M. Sakho
79′
3–2 T. Savanier ⚽
N. Cozza
81′
A. Souquet 🔁
↦ E. Wahi
84′
84′
🔁 K. Dong
↦ Y. Larouci
89′
🔁 W. Odobert
↦ E. Palmer-Brown
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
1 J. Omlin G
29 E. Tchato D
77 F. Sacko D
75 M. Sakho D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
13 J. Chotard M
11 T. Savanier M
27 F. Maouassa M
99 W. Khazri M
10 S. Mavididi M
21 E. Wahi F
Bench (9)
28 B. Makouana
18 L. Leroy
31 N. Cozza
14 M. Estève
2 A. Souquet
5 Pedro Mendes
22 K. Fayad
9 V. Germain
16 D. Bertaud

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Troyes

5-4-1
30 G. Gallon G
19 A. Bruus D
2 J. Porozo D
4 E. Palmer-Brown D
17 Y. Salmier D
39 Y. Larouci D
20 R. Ripart M
6 R. Kouamé M
10 F. Tardieu M
24 X. Chavalerin M
25 Mama Baldé F
Bench (7)
27 K. Dong
29 W. Odobert
22 T. Zoukrou
40 J. Moulin
31 D. Dongmo
37 E. N'jo
7 Y. Touzghar

Coach: B. Irles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,19
🔒
U
3,42
🔒
B
3,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
U2,5
1,90
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Gaillouste · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.