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Ligue 2
Grenoble
S T T T T
5–3
Full-time
Toulouse
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Toulouse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–2

14 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 24
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Grenoble 15. · Toulouse 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Amiens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Rodez 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nancy 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Guingamp 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Toulouse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Grenoble 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Ajaccio 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Chambly 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Pau FC 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
2,98
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,30
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.