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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gansloweit
Ulm
T S T T T
0–0
Full-time
Elversberg
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
14%
45%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 57%
59%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Elversberg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 23 11 9 3 +22 42
2 FC Koln 22 12 4 6 +8 40
3 Kaiserslautern 23 11 6 6 +5 39
4 Magdeburg 22 10 8 4 +14 38
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 10 7 5 +8 37
6 Paderborn 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Elversberg 22 10 5 7 +10 35
8 Nurnberg 23 10 5 8 +4 35
9 Hannover 22 9 7 6 +6 34
10 Karlsruhe 22 8 6 8 -2 30
11 Schalke 04 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 Hertha 23 7 5 11 -4 26
13 Greuther Furth 22 7 5 10 -12 26
14 Darmstadt 22 6 7 9 +1 25
15 Braunschweig 22 5 6 11 -18 21
16 Preußen Münster 22 4 8 10 -8 20
17 Ulm 22 3 8 11 -6 17
18 Regensburg 22 4 3 15 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Sep -24 Elversberg – Ulm 1–3

Match report

Ulm Elversberg
35′
🟨 Robin Fellhauer
Half-time 0–0
Tom Gaal 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 C. Sickinger
↦ M. Feil
Luka Hyrylainen 🟨
48′
F. Higl 🔁
↦ S. Telalović
59′
R. Leipertz 🔁
↦ A. Keller
59′
Tom Gaal ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
Johannes Reichert 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 F. Gerezgiher
↦ T. Zimmerschied
68′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ R. Fellhauer
Felix Higl 🟨
76′
J. Meier 🔁
↦ R. Rösch
79′
85′
🟨 Maximilian Rohr
85′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ M. Damar
85′
🔁 Y. Ebnoutalib
↦ S. Şahin
L. Röser 🔁
↦ O. Batista Meier
88′
L. Stoll 🔁
↦ B. Allgeier
88′
92′
🟨 Frederik Schmahl
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-2-1
39 C. Ortag G
4 T. Gaal D
5 J. Reichert D
27 N. Kolbe D
7 B. Allgeier M
23 M. Brandt M
38 L. Hyryläinen M
43 R. Rösch M
16 A. Keller F
21 O. Batista Meier F
29 S. Telalović F
Bench (9)
33 F. Higl
13 R. Leipertz
19 J. Meier
9 L. Röser
18 L. Stoll
22 A. Kahvić
10 A. Ludwig
6 T. Geyer
1 N. Thiede

Coach: T. Wörle

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Neubauer D
6 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
7 M. Feil M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
23 C. Sickinger
27 F. Gerezgiher
24 L. Schnellbacher
17 F. Schmahl
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
26 A. Sicker
28 T. Boss
21 P. Stock
3 F. Le Joncour

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U ✓
3,33
B
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Gansloweit · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.