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LaLiga2
Referee: Miguel Sesma
Eibar
U T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Santander
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
30%
59%
Both score Ø 45%
37%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 17. · Santander 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 27 14 6 7 +11 48
3 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
4 Elche 27 13 8 6 +15 47
5 Oviedo 27 13 8 6 +7 47
6 Almeria 27 12 9 6 +11 45
7 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Granada 27 11 9 7 +11 42
9 Cordoba 28 11 6 11 -6 39
10 Malaga 28 8 14 6 +1 38
11 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
12 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
13 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
14 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
15 Zaragoza 27 9 7 11 +3 34
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
18 Burgos 26 9 6 11 -8 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 27 4 10 13 -25 22
21 Tenerife 28 4 7 17 -19 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Santander
Jorge Pascual 🟨
4′
1–0 Jon Bautista
José Corpas
10′
31′
Juan Carlos Arana 1–1
Andrés Martín
34′
🟨 Francisco Montero
Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Víctor Meseguer
Aritz Arambarri 🟨
53′
Xeber Alkain 🔁
↦ Martín Merquelanz
57′
2–1 Jon Bautista
José Corpas
62′
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
66′
Ander Madariaga 🔁
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
66′
69′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ Juan Carlos Arana
69′
🔁 Jon Karrikaburu
↦ Javi Montero
Ander Madariaga 🟨
76′
78′
Andrés Martín 2–2
Jon Karrikaburu
79′
🔁 L. Junior
↦ Róber
Jon Guruzeta 🔁
↦ José Corpas
83′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
2 Sergio Cubero D
22 Aritz Arambarri D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
14 Hodei Arrillaga D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
17 José Corpas M
11 Jorge Pascual M
18 Martín Merquelanz M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (12)
7 Xeber Alkain
20 Antonio Puertas
29 Ander Madariaga
21 Jon Guruzeta
4 Álvaro Carrillo
5 Chema Rodríguez
35 Oscar Carrasco
19 Toni Villa
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
15 Arnau Comas
1 Álex Domínguez
32 Aitor Galarza

Coach: Beñat San José

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
15 Marco Sangalli D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
23 Víctor Meseguer M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
16 Róber M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (11)
12 M. Gueye
5 Javi Castro
19 Jon Karrikaburu
7 L. Junior
22 Pablo Rodríguez
32 Jorge Salinas
1 Miquel Parera
20 S. Camara
4 Pol Moreno
14 Ekain Zenitagoia
29 J. Arévalo

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,26
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Miguel Sesma · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.