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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
Darmstadt
S T U T T
0–3
Full-time
Elversberg
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
65%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 12. · Elversberg 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
2 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
3 Magdeburg 20 9 8 3 +12 35
4 Kaiserslautern 20 10 5 5 +7 35
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
6 Hannover 20 9 5 6 +6 32
7 Paderborn 20 8 7 5 +4 31
8 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
9 Elversberg 20 8 5 7 +5 29
10 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 +1 28
11 Greuther Furth 21 7 5 9 -10 26
12 Darmstadt 20 6 7 7 +5 25
13 Hertha 20 7 4 9 -2 25
14 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
15 Preußen Münster 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Ulm 20 3 8 9 -2 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Elversberg
12′
⚽ R. Fellhauer 0–1
30′
🟨 Lukas Finn Pinckert
42′
⚽ M. Neubauer 0–2
M. Damar
44′
🟨 Lukas Petkov
Half-time 0–2
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
46′
Philipp Förster ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
52′
J. Boëtius 🔁
↦ A. Müller
61′
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ P. Förster
61′
I. Lidberg 🔁
↦ O. Vilhelmsson
62′
64′
⚽ F. Asllani 0–3
L. Pinckert
66′
🔁 F. Schmahl
↦ R. Fellhauer
Isac Lidberg 🟨
70′
72′
🔁 L. Schnellbacher
↦ T. Zimmerschied
Fabian Nürnberger 🟥
76′
77′
🟨 Maximilian Rohr
Guille Bueno 🔁
↦ F. Lakenmacher
80′
81′
🔁 M. Feil
↦ L. Petkov
81′
🔁 A. Sicker
↦ E. Baum
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-2-2-2
1 M. Schuhen G
13 M. Thiede D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
15 F. Nürnberger D
21 M. Papela M
16 A. Müller M
18 P. Förster M
34 K. Corredor M
29 O. Vilhelmsson F
19 F. Lakenmacher F
Bench (7)
10 J. Boëtius
8 L. Marseiler
7 I. Lidberg
3 Guille Bueno
9 F. Hornby
30 A. Brunst
14 M. Drešković

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
33 M. Neubauer D
23 C. Sickinger M
6 R. Fellhauer M
25 L. Petkov M
30 M. Damar M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
17 F. Schmahl
24 L. Schnellbacher
7 M. Feil
26 A. Sicker
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
28 T. Boss
27 F. Gerezgiher
3 F. Le Joncour
21 P. Stock

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,40
B ✓
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,56
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.