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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

FC Koln

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Elversberg

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Elversberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

61%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

56%

61%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match FC Koln 4. · Elversberg 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	19	8	8	3	+9	32
2	Kaiserslautern	19	9	5	5	+6	32
3	Hamburg	18	8	7	3	+17	31
4	FC Koln	18	9	4	5	+8	31
5	Hannover	18	9	3	6	+6	30
6	Karlsruhe	18	8	5	5	+2	29
7	Elversberg	18	8	4	6	+6	28
8	Paderborn	18	7	7	4	+4	28
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	7	6	5	+5	27
10	Darmstadt	18	6	7	5	+7	25
11	Nurnberg	18	7	4	7	+2	25
12	Hertha	18	7	4	7	+1	25
13	Schalke 04	18	5	6	7	-1	21
14	Greuther Furth	19	5	5	9	-12	20
15	Preußen Münster	18	4	7	7	-4	19
16	Braunschweig	19	3	6	10	-20	15
17	Ulm	18	2	8	8	-5	14
18	Regensburg	18	3	2	13	-31	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	9	7	1	1	+9	22
2	Hamburg	10	5	5	0	+16	20
3	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+4	17
4	Elversberg	10	5	1	4	+0	16
5	Kaiserslautern	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	FC Koln	9	4	2	3	+7	14
7	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
9	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
10	Braunschweig	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Greuther Furth	10	3	2	5	-8	11
12	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-2	10
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Regensburg	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
17	Magdeburg	9	0	7	2	-5	7
18	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	Hertha	10	5	3	2	+5	18
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+1	17
5	FC Koln	9	5	2	2	+1	17
6	Karlsruhe	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
10	Darmstadt	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Ulm	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-20	3
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.