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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
0–1
Full-time
Salzburg
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 50%
61%
39%
Points per game
2,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
61%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
61%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 2. · Salzburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 18 11 4 3 +21 37
2 Austria Vienna 18 11 4 3 +13 37
3 Wolfsberger AC 18 10 2 6 +13 32
4 Salzburg 18 7 7 4 +7 28
5 SK Rapid 18 7 7 4 +2 28
6 BW Linz 18 7 3 8 -3 24
7 LASK 18 6 4 8 -2 22
8 Hartberg 18 5 7 6 -2 22
9 Tirol 18 4 6 8 -7 18
10 A. Klagenfurt 18 4 5 9 -21 17
11 Grazer AK 18 3 7 8 -11 16
12 Altach 18 3 4 11 -10 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.