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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Gerach

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U T U S

3–2

Full-time

Ulm

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

42%

16%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

58%

47%

Both score Ø 58%

53%

63%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 21

3 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 7. · Ulm 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	19	9	7	3	+18	34
2	FC Koln	19	10	4	5	+9	34
3	Magdeburg	19	8	8	3	+9	32
4	Kaiserslautern	19	9	5	5	+6	32
5	Hannover	19	9	4	6	+6	31
6	Paderborn	19	8	7	4	+5	31
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	19	8	6	5	+6	30
8	Karlsruhe	20	8	6	6	+1	30
9	Elversberg	20	8	5	7	+5	29
10	Nurnberg	20	8	4	8	+1	28
11	Darmstadt	20	6	7	7	+5	25
12	Hertha	19	7	4	8	+0	25
13	Schalke 04	19	6	6	7	+1	24
14	Preußen Münster	19	4	8	7	-4	20
15	Greuther Furth	19	5	5	9	-12	20
16	Ulm	19	3	8	8	-1	17
17	Braunschweig	19	3	6	10	-20	15
18	Regensburg	19	3	2	14	-35	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Hamburg	10	5	5	0	+16	20
3	Nurnberg	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	FC Koln	10	5	2	3	+8	17
5	Elversberg	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Kaiserslautern	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Paderborn	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Karlsruhe	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Darmstadt	10	3	4	3	+6	13
10	Braunschweig	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Schalke 04	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Greuther Furth	10	3	2	5	-8	11
13	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-2	10
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Regensburg	10	3	1	6	-10	10
16	Ulm	9	2	3	4	+2	9
17	Hertha	9	2	1	6	-5	7
18	Magdeburg	9	0	7	2	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	10	8	1	1	+14	25
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Hertha	10	5	3	2	+5	18
4	Paderborn	10	4	5	1	+2	17
5	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+1	17
6	FC Koln	9	5	2	2	+1	17
7	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Hamburg	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Elversberg	9	3	3	3	+5	12
11	Darmstadt	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Preußen Münster	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	Ulm	10	1	5	4	-3	8
15	Hannover	9	2	2	5	-3	8
16	Nurnberg	10	2	2	6	-4	8
17	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-20	3
18	Regensburg	9	0	1	8	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.