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2. Bundesliga

Referee: T Bauer

Ulm

U U T S T

0–2

Full-time

Paderborn

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 28%

15%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

50%

70%

Both score Ø 70%

65%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ulm 16. · Paderborn 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	21	10	8	3	+19	38
2	FC Koln	20	11	4	5	+10	37
3	Magdeburg	20	9	8	3	+12	35
4	Kaiserslautern	20	10	5	5	+7	35
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	9	6	5	+7	33
6	Hannover	20	9	5	6	+6	32
7	Paderborn	20	8	7	5	+4	31
8	Karlsruhe	20	8	6	6	+1	30
9	Elversberg	20	8	5	7	+5	29
10	Nurnberg	20	8	4	8	+1	28
11	Greuther Furth	21	7	5	9	-10	26
12	Darmstadt	20	6	7	7	+5	25
13	Hertha	20	7	4	9	-2	25
14	Schalke 04	20	6	6	8	-2	24
15	Preußen Münster	21	4	8	9	-6	20
16	Ulm	20	3	8	9	-2	17
17	Braunschweig	20	3	6	11	-21	15
18	Regensburg	21	4	2	15	-34	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+16	21
3	Nurnberg	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Kaiserslautern	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	FC Koln	10	5	2	3	+8	17
6	Elversberg	11	5	2	4	+0	17
7	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+2	14
8	Karlsruhe	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Greuther Furth	11	4	2	5	-7	14
10	Darmstadt	10	3	4	3	+6	13
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Regensburg	11	4	1	6	-8	13
13	Braunschweig	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Schalke 04	10	3	2	5	-3	11
15	Preußen Münster	11	2	4	5	-3	10
16	Ulm	9	2	3	4	+2	9
17	Hertha	9	2	1	6	-5	7
18	Magdeburg	9	0	7	2	-5	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	11	9	1	1	+17	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	FC Koln	10	6	2	2	+2	20
4	Hertha	11	5	3	3	+3	18
5	Hamburg	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Paderborn	10	4	5	1	+2	17
7	Kaiserslautern	10	5	2	3	+1	17
8	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Schalke 04	10	3	4	3	+1	13
10	Elversberg	9	3	3	3	+5	12
11	Darmstadt	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Greuther Furth	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Preußen Münster	10	2	4	4	-3	10
14	Hannover	10	2	3	5	-3	9
15	Nurnberg	10	2	2	6	-4	8
16	Ulm	11	1	5	5	-4	8
17	Braunschweig	10	0	3	7	-20	3
18	Regensburg	10	0	1	9	-26	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.