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LaLiga2
Referee: José Guzmán
Burgos
U T T S S
1–2
Full-time
Oviedo
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,2
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 42%
35%
48%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
23%
44%
Both score Ø 40%
31%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 18. · Oviedo 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
2 Santander 27 14 6 7 +11 48
3 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
4 Elche 27 13 8 6 +15 47
5 Oviedo 27 13 8 6 +7 47
6 Almeria 27 12 9 6 +11 45
7 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Granada 27 11 9 7 +11 42
9 Cordoba 28 11 6 11 -6 39
10 Malaga 28 8 14 6 +1 38
11 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
12 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
13 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
14 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
15 Zaragoza 27 9 7 11 +3 34
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 27 9 6 12 -5 33
18 Burgos 26 9 6 11 -8 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 27 4 10 13 -25 22
21 Tenerife 28 4 7 17 -19 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Oviedo
1–0 Borja Sánchez
Álex Sancris
28′
39′
🟨 César de la Hoz
40′
Alemão 1–1
Jaime Seoane
Half-time 1–1
Rubén Quintanilla 🔁
↦ G. Barès
46′
46′
🔁 K. Sibo
↦ César de la Hoz
46′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ H. Hassan
55′
Dani Calvo 1–2
Edu Espiau 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
56′
Elady 🔁
↦ Borja Sánchez
56′
70′
🔁 Oier Luengo
↦ Jaime Seoane
G. Konan 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
74′
79′
🔁 Portillo
↦ I. Chaira
Grego Sierra 🟨
84′
David González 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
85′
86′
🔁 D. Paraschiv
↦ Alemão
Florian Miguel 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burgos

4-2-3-1
13 Ander Cantero G
4 A. Arroyo D
8 Grego Sierra D
3 F. Miguel D
21 Iñigo Córdoba D
15 G. Barès M
5 Miguel Atienza M
11 Álex Sancris M
16 Curro Sánchez M
10 Borja Sánchez M
9 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
46 Rubén Quintanilla
19 Edu Espiau
22 Elady
2 G. Konan
14 David González
23 Iván Morante
7 Dani Ojeda
20 Pipa
28 Mario Cantero
17 F. Mimbacas
1 Tomeu Nadal
33 Marcelo Expósito

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Oviedo

4-3-3
13 Aarón Escandell G
5 Nacho Vidal D
4 David Costas D
12 Dani Calvo D
21 Carlos Pomares D
20 Jaime Seoane M
17 César de la Hoz M
11 S. Colombatto M
23 H. Hassan F
9 Alemão F
16 I. Chaira F
Bench (10)
6 K. Sibo
7 Sebas Moyano
15 Oier Luengo
10 Portillo
14 D. Paraschiv
1 Q. Braat
24 Lucas Ahijado
19 F. Viñas
27 Álex Cardero
3 R. Alhassane

Coach: Javier Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
2,74
B ✓
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,85
U2,5
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Guzmán · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.