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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Aberdeen

U T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 37%

42%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 52%

58%

46%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 3. · Kilmarnock 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	27	22	3	2	+63	69
2	Rangers	26	17	5	4	+34	56
3	Aberdeen	26	11	5	10	-5	38
4	Hibernian	27	9	10	8	+1	37
5	Dundee United	26	10	7	9	+1	37
6	Ross County	27	8	8	11	-18	32
7	St Mirren	26	9	4	13	-9	31
8	Kilmarnock	26	8	7	11	-10	31
9	Motherwell	26	9	4	13	-15	31
10	Hearts	26	8	6	12	-1	30
11	Dundee	27	7	6	14	-19	27
12	ST Johnstone	26	6	3	17	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	12	1	0	+41	37
2	Rangers	13	12	1	0	+31	37
3	Hibernian	14	6	5	3	+6	23
4	Aberdeen	13	7	2	4	+4	23
5	Kilmarnock	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Dundee United	12	5	3	4	+4	18
7	Hearts	13	5	3	5	+1	18
8	St Mirren	14	5	3	6	+0	18
9	Motherwell	13	5	3	5	-5	18
10	Ross County	14	4	5	5	-3	17
11	Dundee	14	4	3	7	-5	15
12	ST Johnstone	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	10	2	2	+22	32
2	Rangers	13	5	4	4	+3	19
3	Dundee United	14	5	4	5	-3	19
4	Aberdeen	13	4	3	6	-9	15
5	Ross County	13	4	3	6	-15	15
6	Hibernian	13	3	5	5	-5	14
7	St Mirren	12	4	1	7	-9	13
8	Motherwell	13	4	1	8	-10	13
9	Hearts	13	3	3	7	-2	12
10	Dundee	13	3	3	7	-14	12
11	ST Johnstone	14	3	2	9	-13	11
12	Kilmarnock	13	2	3	8	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.