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Serie B
Referee: G Aureliano
Pisa
U S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pisa 2. · Juve Stabia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 27 19 5 3 +33 62
2 Pisa 26 15 7 4 +17 52
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 26 10 9 7 +2 39
7 Bari 26 7 13 6 +3 34
8 Cesena 26 9 7 10 -1 34
9 Palermo 26 8 8 10 +2 32
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 26 7 8 11 -5 29
15 Sampdoria 27 6 11 10 -7 29
16 Mantova 26 6 11 9 -8 29
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 26 5 10 11 -10 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Juve Stabia
36′
🟥 Leonardo Candellone
36′
ℹ️ Leonardo Candellone
VAR: Card upgrade
42′
🟨 Danilo Quaranta
Half-time 0–0
O. Moruțan 🔁
↦ I. Touré
46′
G. Piccinini 🔁
↦ M. Højholt
46′
57′
M. Marin 1–0
own goal
59′
🟨 Romano Floriani Mussolini
2–0 M. Tramoni
64′
3–0 O. Moruțan
66′
68′
🔁 Y. Rocchetti
↦ D. Quaranta
69′
🔁 G. Leone
↦ C. Pierobon
69′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ D. Buglio
76′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ N. Fortini
4–0 S. Moreo
G. Piccinini
77′
Adrian Rus 🟨
79′
H. Meister 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
84′
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ A. Rus
84′
Leonardo Sernicola 🟨
87′
L. Sernicola 🔁
↦ M. Tramoni
87′
87′
🔁 E. Dubickas
↦ K. Piscopo
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
8 M. Højholt M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
80 O. Moruțan
36 G. Piccinini
14 H. Meister
33 A. Calabresi
66 L. Sernicola
27 A. Castellini
22 L. Loria
13 C. Sussi
1 Nícolas
28 O. Abildgaard
94 G. Bonfanti
30 A. Arena

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Juve Stabia

3-4-3
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
6 M. Bellich D
2 D. Quaranta D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
8 D. Buglio M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
27 L. Candellone F
11 K. Piscopo F
9 A. Adorante F
Bench (12)
3 Y. Rocchetti
55 G. Leone
14 M. Meli
37 F. Maistro
7 E. Dubickas
98 N. Mosti
13 M. Baldi
45 P. Peda
25 A. Gerbo
17 G. Morachioli
1 K. Matošević
80 A. Louati

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,16
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Aureliano · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.