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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Erbst
Elversberg
S T S S T
2–5
Full-time
Magdeburg
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
41%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
65%
76%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 6. · Magdeburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 18 8 7 3 +17 31
2 FC Koln 18 9 4 5 +8 31
3 Hannover 18 9 3 6 +6 30
4 Kaiserslautern 18 8 5 5 +4 29
5 Karlsruhe 17 8 5 4 +3 29
6 Elversberg 17 8 4 5 +9 28
7 Magdeburg 17 7 7 3 +6 28
8 Paderborn 17 7 7 3 +5 28
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 7 6 5 +5 27
10 Darmstadt 18 6 7 5 +7 25
11 Nurnberg 17 6 4 7 +1 22
12 Hertha 17 6 4 7 +0 22
13 Schalke 04 18 5 6 7 -1 21
14 Greuther Furth 18 5 5 8 -10 20
15 Preußen Münster 18 4 7 7 -4 19
16 Ulm 18 2 8 8 -5 14
17 Braunschweig 18 3 5 10 -20 14
18 Regensburg 18 3 2 13 -31 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Magdeburg
1–0 L. Schnellbacher
3′
2–0 L. Petkov
F. Asllani
36′
Frederik Schmahl 🟥
43′
Half-time 2–0
S. Şahin 🔁
↦ L. Schnellbacher
46′
46′
M. Kaars 2–1
61′
🔁 X. Amaechi
↦ C. Krempicki
63′
🟨 Barış Atik
A. Sicker 🔁
↦ M. Damar
64′
66′
🟨 Marcus Mathisen
70′
M. Kaars 2–2
B. Atik
73′
ℹ️ Martijn Kaars
VAR: Goal confirmed
73′
🔁 Bryan Teixeira
↦ A. Nollenberger
77′
X. Amaechi 2–3
M. Kaars
Maurice Neubauer 🟨
81′
F. Gerezgiher 🔁
↦ F. Le Joncour
81′
82′
M. El Hankouri 2–4
85′
🔁 F. Michel
↦ B. Atik
M. Feil 🔁
↦ L. Petkov
86′
T. Zimmerschied 🔁
↦ C. Sickinger
86′
86′
🔁 P. Nadjombe
↦ L. Burcu
Semih Şahin 🟨
90′
91′
M. Kaars 2–5
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
2 E. Baum D
31 M. Rohr D
3 F. Le Joncour D
33 M. Neubauer D
23 C. Sickinger M
17 F. Schmahl M
25 L. Petkov M
24 L. Schnellbacher M
30 M. Damar M
10 F. Asllani F
Bench (9)
8 S. Şahin
26 A. Sicker
27 F. Gerezgiher
7 M. Feil
29 T. Zimmerschied
28 T. Boss
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
21 P. Stock
18 M. Mahmoud

Coach: H. Steffen

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
27 P. Hercher M
11 M. El Hankouri M
13 C. Krempicki M
17 A. Nollenberger M
29 L. Burcu F
9 M. Kaars F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
20 X. Amaechi
8 Bryan Teixeira
21 F. Michel
22 P. Nadjombe
30 N. Kruth
26 A. Marušić
5 T. Müller
34 T. Chahed
14 A. El-Zein

Coach: C. Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,73
B ✓
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,36
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Erbst · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.