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2. Bundesliga
Referee: E Weisbach
Ulm
U T U U T
5–1
Full-time
Regensburg
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 14%
11%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
61%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Regensburg 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 19 9 7 3 +18 34
2 FC Koln 19 10 4 5 +9 34
3 Magdeburg 19 8 8 3 +9 32
4 Kaiserslautern 19 9 5 5 +6 32
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 8 6 5 +6 30
6 Hannover 18 9 3 6 +6 30
7 Karlsruhe 19 8 5 6 +1 29
8 Elversberg 19 8 4 7 +5 28
9 Paderborn 18 7 7 4 +4 28
10 Darmstadt 18 6 7 5 +7 25
11 Nurnberg 19 7 4 8 +0 25
12 Hertha 19 7 4 8 +0 25
13 Schalke 04 19 6 6 7 +1 24
14 Greuther Furth 19 5 5 9 -12 20
15 Preußen Münster 18 4 7 7 -4 19
16 Braunschweig 19 3 6 10 -20 15
17 Ulm 18 2 8 8 -5 14
18 Regensburg 18 3 2 13 -31 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Aug -24 Regensburg – Ulm 1–0

Match report

Ulm Regensburg
13′
🟨 Christian Kühlwetter
Tom Gaal 🟨
15′
1–0 S. Telalović
M. Brandt
23′
2–0 S. Telalović
O. Batista Meier
34′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Telalović
D. Dressel
46′
46′
🔁 C. Viet
↦ A. Suhonen
46′
🔁 F. Ballas
↦ R. Bulić
46′
🔁 E. Hottmann
↦ C. Kühlwetter
46′
🔁 N. Ganaus
↦ S. Adamyan
4–0 O. Batista Meier
55′
75′
🔁 B. Hein
↦ T. Handwerker
5–0 S. Telalović
O. Batista Meier
79′
L. Röser 🔁
↦ O. Batista Meier
81′
F. Higl 🔁
↦ S. Telalović
81′
D. Chessa 🔁
↦ M. Krattenmacher
81′
L. Hyryläinen 🔁
↦ D. Dressel
86′
A. Ludwig 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
86′
92′
N. Ganaus 5–1
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-1-2
39 C. Ortag G
4 T. Gaal D
5 J. Reichert D
32 P. Strompf D
43 R. Rösch M
23 M. Brandt M
14 D. Dressel M
16 A. Keller M
30 M. Krattenmacher F
29 S. Telalović F
21 O. Batista Meier F
Bench (9)
9 L. Röser
33 F. Higl
11 D. Chessa
38 L. Hyryläinen
10 A. Ludwig
1 N. Thiede
7 B. Allgeier
27 N. Kolbe
18 L. Stoll

Coach: T. Wörle

Regensburg

3-5-2
1 F. Gebhardt G
14 R. Ziegele D
5 R. Bulić D
16 L. Breunig D
27 F. Ananou M
34 A. Suhonen M
8 A. Geipl M
30 C. Kühlwetter M
2 T. Handwerker M
33 K. Pröger F
22 S. Adamyan F
Bench (9)
10 C. Viet
4 F. Ballas
9 E. Hottmann
20 N. Ganaus
3 B. Hein
29 E. Huth
23 J. Pollersbeck
15 S. Ernst
36 B. Kieffer

Coach: A. Patz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,36
B
3,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,16
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Weisbach · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.