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LaLiga2
Referee: Iosu Galech
Sp Gijon
U T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Almeria
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
41%
63%
Both score Ø 69%
63%
74%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sp Gijon 11. · Almeria 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oviedo 28 14 8 6 +8 50
2 Santander 28 14 7 7 +11 49
3 Mirandes 27 14 6 7 +14 48
4 Huesca 27 13 8 6 +16 47
5 Elche 27 13 8 6 +15 47
6 Almeria 27 12 9 6 +11 45
7 Levante 27 11 11 5 +12 44
8 Granada 28 11 10 7 +11 43
9 Cordoba 28 11 6 11 -6 39
10 Malaga 28 8 14 6 +1 38
11 Sp Gijon 27 9 10 8 +4 37
12 Cadiz 27 9 10 8 +3 37
13 Zaragoza 28 9 8 11 +3 35
14 La Coruna 27 9 8 10 +3 35
15 Castellon 27 10 5 12 +0 35
16 Albacete 27 8 10 9 -4 34
17 Eibar 28 9 7 12 -5 34
18 Burgos 27 9 6 12 -9 33
19 Eldense 27 7 7 13 -13 28
20 Ferrol 27 4 10 13 -25 22
21 Tenerife 28 4 7 17 -19 19
22 Cartagena 27 4 3 20 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Almeria
44′
L. Suárez 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Pablo García 🔁
↦ Róber Pier
46′
59′
🟨 Kaiky
1–1 J. Caicedo
60′
Nikola Maraš 🟨
64′
Nico Serrano 🟨
66′
69′
🔁 Álex Pozo
↦ Álex Centelles
69′
🔁 Sergio Arribas
↦ Léo Baptistão
Gaspar Campos 🔁
↦ Nico Serrano
71′
Carlos Dotor 🔁
↦ Nacho Martín
76′
80′
🟨 Edgar González
Guille Rosas 🔁
↦ Kevin Vázquez
81′
Víctor Campuzano 🔁
↦ Jonathan Dubasin
81′
81′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ L. Robertone
82′
🟨 Kaiky
82′
🟥 Kaiky
88′
🟨 Bruno Langa
93′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ L. Suárez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

3-5-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
15 N. Maraš D
4 Róber Pier D
22 Diego Sánchez D
20 Kevin Vázquez M
18 César Gelabert M
6 Nacho Martín M
10 Nacho Méndez M
21 Nico Serrano M
16 J. Caicedo F
17 Jonathan Dubasin F
Bench (11)
5 Pablo García
7 Gaspar Campos
12 Carlos Dotor
2 Guille Rosas
11 Víctor Campuzano
32 E. Henriksson
3 Cote
29 Y. Kembo
28 P. Mbemba
27 Álex Oyón
13 C. Sánchez

Coach: Rubén Albés

Almeria

4-1-4-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
3 Edgar González D
16 A. Radovanović D
24 Bruno Langa D
4 Kaiky M
12 Léo Baptistão M
5 L. Robertone M
6 D. Lopy M
20 Álex Centelles M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (11)
17 Álex Pozo
11 Sergio Arribas
2 Arnau Puigmal
19 M. Milovanović
7 Lázaro
38 Pedro Cedillo
8 Gonzalo Melero
10 Nico Melamed
31 Bruno Iribarne
37 Joan Gázquez
13 Fernando Martínez

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,15
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iosu Galech · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.