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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Hibernian
U S U S U
2–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 58%
31%
85%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
54%
73%
Both score Ø 43%
62%
23%
Average goals
2,8
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,9
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

25% Possession 75%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 10
6 Offside 8
12 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 5. · Celtic 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 26 22 3 1 +64 69
2 Rangers 26 17 5 4 +34 56
3 Aberdeen 26 11 5 10 -5 38
4 Dundee United 26 10 7 9 +1 37
5 Hibernian 26 8 10 8 +0 34
6 St Mirren 26 9 4 13 -9 31
7 Kilmarnock 26 8 7 11 -10 31
8 Motherwell 26 9 4 13 -15 31
9 Hearts 26 8 6 12 -1 30
10 Ross County 26 7 8 11 -20 29
11 Dundee 26 7 6 13 -17 27
12 ST Johnstone 26 6 3 17 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Celtic
1–0 J. Campbell
N. Triantis
2′
24′
🟨 Greg Taylor
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jota
↦ A. Idah
46′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ L. McCowan
46′
🔁 J. Schlupp
↦ G. Taylor
2–0 J. Campbell
M. Boyle
49′
49′
🟨 Alistair Johnston
Josh Campbell ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
50′
M. Kuharevich 🔁
↦ K. Bowie
64′
68′
D. Maeda 2–1
R. Hatate
J. Obita 🔁
↦ N. Moriah-Welsh
73′
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga 🟨
77′
J. Hoilett 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
78′
M. Ekpiteta 🔁
↦ R. Bushiri
78′
85′
ℹ️ Daizen Maeda
VAR: Goal cancelled
Josh Campbell 🟨
92′
Jordan Obita 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
13 J. Smith G
5 W. O'Hora D
33 R. Bushiri D
15 J. Iredale D
2 L. Miller M
22 N. Moriah-Welsh M
26 N. Triantis M
19 N. Cadden M
32 J. Campbell F
10 M. Boyle F
20 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
99 M. Kuharevich
21 J. Obita
23 J. Hoilett
4 M. Ekpiteta
12 C. Cadden
11 J. Newell
34 D. Gayle
35 R. Molotnikov
1 J. Bursik

Coach: D. Gray

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
3 G. Taylor D
14 L. McCowan M
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
10 N. Kühn F
9 A. Idah F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
7 Jota
41 R. Hatate
15 J. Schlupp
59 J. Bonnar
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
5 L. Scales
24 J. Kenny
12 V. Sinisalo
56 A. Ralston

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,65
U
4,62
B
1,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.