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Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury
Bournemouth
S S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Wolves
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
48%
20%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
56%
76%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,62 xG 2,00
45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 5. · Wolves 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 26 18 7 1 +36 +35.6 61
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 +29 +19.5 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 +12 +3.6 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 +17 +11.7 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 +15 +15.1 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 +13 +13.8 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 +9 +10.3 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 +5 +8.1 39
9 Aston Villa 26 10 9 7 -3 +5.1 39
10 Brentford 26 11 4 11 +5 +0.7 37
11 Brighton 25 9 10 6 +0 -2.9 37
12 Everton 26 7 10 9 -4 -4.3 31
13 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 +12 -0.2 30
14 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 -3 +1.4 30
15 Man United 26 8 6 12 -7 -5.2 30
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 -18 -10.0 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 -19 -13.9 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 -27 -28.4 17
19 Leicester 26 4 5 17 -34 -26.5 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 -38 -33.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Wolves
4′
🟨 Santiago Bueno
Miloš Kerkez 🟨
22′
Illia Zabarnyi ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
30′
Illia Zabarnyi 🟥
31′
36′
Matheus Cunha 0–1
M. Munetsi
44′
🟨 João Gomes
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Strand Larsen
↦ João Gomes
T. Adams 🔁
↦ R. Christie
60′
D. Brooks 🔁
↦ J. Hill
60′
A. Scott 🔁
↦ J. Kluivert
73′
73′
🔁 N. Djiga
↦ S. Bueno
80′
🔁 Pablo Sarabia
↦ J. Bellegarde
80′
🔁 Pedro Lima
↦ R. Aït-Nouri
Alex Scott 🟨
85′
D. Jebbison 🔁
↦ D. Ouattara
89′
89′
🔁 T. Doyle
↦ Matheus Cunha
91′
🟨 Matt Doherty
Kepa Arrizabalaga 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-2-3-1
13 Kepa G
23 J. Hill D
27 I. Zabarnyi D
2 Dean Huijsen D
3 M. Kerkez D
4 L. Cook M
10 R. Christie M
16 M. Tavernier M
19 J. Kluivert M
24 A. Semenyo M
11 D. Ouattara F
Bench (9)
12 T. Adams
7 D. Brooks
8 A. Scott
21 D. Jebbison
20 J. Soler
17 L. Sinisterra
47 B. Winterburn
9 Evanilson
40 W. Dennis

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Wolves

3-4-2-1
1 José Sá G
2 M. Doherty D
4 S. Bueno D
24 Toti Gomes D
22 Nélson Semedo M
7 André M
8 João Gomes M
3 R. Aït-Nouri M
27 J. Bellegarde F
10 Matheus Cunha F
5 M. Munetsi F
Bench (9)
9 J. Strand Larsen
34 N. Djiga
21 Pablo Sarabia
37 Pedro Lima
20 T. Doyle
31 S. Johnstone
26 Carlos Forbs
46 A. Pond
6 B. Traoré

Coach: Vítor Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,56
U
4,45
B ✓
5,50
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.