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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
Ross County
S T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Dundee
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ross County Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,8
This season — Premiership · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
65%
73%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
20 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ross County 10. · Dundee 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 22 3 2 +63 69
2 Rangers 26 17 5 4 +34 56
3 Aberdeen 26 11 5 10 -5 38
4 Hibernian 27 9 10 8 +1 37
5 Dundee United 26 10 7 9 +1 37
6 St Mirren 26 9 4 13 -9 31
7 Kilmarnock 26 8 7 11 -10 31
8 Motherwell 26 9 4 13 -15 31
9 Hearts 26 8 6 12 -1 30
10 Ross County 26 7 8 11 -20 29
11 Dundee 26 7 6 13 -17 27
12 ST Johnstone 26 6 3 17 -22 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ross County Dundee
4′
S. Murray 0–1
Z. Larkeche
1–1 K. Phillips
K. Łopata
18′
24′
🔁 A. Donnelly
↦ A. Portales
30′
🟨 Ziyad Larkeche
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Sylla
↦ C. Robertson
2–1 A. Wright
G. Harmon
47′
3–1 N. Chilvers
K. Phillips
49′
59′
🔁 O. Adewumi
↦ S. Palmer-Houlden
65′
🟨 Mohammad Sylla
G. Robesten 🔁
↦ R. Hale
67′
J. White 🔁
↦ K. Phillips
75′
81′
🔁 S. Tiffoney
↦ L. Cameron
J. Nisbet 🔁
↦ G. Harmon
82′
J. Grieves 🔁
↦ N. Chilvers
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Ross County

3-5-2
18 J. Amissah G
12 J. Tomkinson D
20 K. Łopata D
19 E. Campbell D
4 A. Wright M
42 N. Kenneh M
8 C. Randall M
10 N. Chilvers M
16 G. Harmon M
11 K. Phillips F
9 R. Hale F
Bench (9)
34 G. Robesten
26 J. White
23 J. Nisbet
14 J. Grieves
1 R. Laidlaw
6 S. Allardice
33 A. MacLeod
30 D. Smith
2 J. Brown

Coach: D. Cowie

Dundee

3-4-1-2
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
3 C. Robertson D
8 J. Mulligan M
6 J. McGhee M
19 F. Robertson M
21 Z. Larkeche M
10 L. Cameron F
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
50 A. Donnelly
28 M. Sylla
11 O. Adewumi
7 S. Tiffoney
5 J. Shaughnessy
31 T. Carson
12 I. Samuels
14 C. Garza
2 E. Ingram

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,25
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.