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Svenska Cupen

Referee: A Aganovic

Kalmar

T S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Varberg

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kalmar 27. · Varberg 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Stockholm Internazionale	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	AIK	2	1	1	0	+6	4
15	Hammarby	2	1	1	0	+5	4
16	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
17	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Karlberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
21	FBK Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+4	3
22	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	+3	3
23	Berga	2	1	0	1	+3	3
24	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
25	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Jonkopings Sodra	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Ariana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Tord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Täby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Nyköping	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Simrishamn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Piteå	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Torslanda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
51	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Eskilsminne	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
57	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
58	Järfälla	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
60	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
61	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
62	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
65	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Stockholm Internazionale	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Torslanda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Huddinge	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Enskede	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Götaholm	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Gute	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Herrestads	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Karlberg	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Angelholms FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
20	Årsunda	2	1	0	1	-4	3
21	IFK Östersund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
22	Kubikenborg	2	1	0	1	-5	3
23	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Hammarby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Viggbyholms IK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Haga	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Tord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Berga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Skellefteå	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Balkan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	IFK Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sunnersta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Trollhättan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Brålanda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Stegeborgs	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Kristianopels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Piteå	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sollentuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Täby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Franke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Åstorp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Ariana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Nyköping	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Tidaholms GoIF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Zenith	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Lödde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Timmernabbens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Haninge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Jönköpings BK	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Landvetter IS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Järfälla	1	0	0	1	-5	0
64	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Eskilsminne	1	0	0	1	-5	0
66	Styrsö	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Forward	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	GAIS	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Trelleborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Norrkoping	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Varberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	IK brage	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	AIK	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Trollhättan	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	FBK Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Sollentuna	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Berga	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Jonkopings Sodra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Ariana	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Nyköping	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Vasteras SK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Täby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Eskilsminne	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Piteå	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Simrishamn	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Tord	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Järfälla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Skövde AIK	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Oddevold	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-3	3
49	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	-4	3
50	Borens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Karlberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Nacka Iliria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Gauthiod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Onsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Ostersunds FK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Hudiksvall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Arlanda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Vänersborgs IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Torns	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Torslanda	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.