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Premier League
Referee: Darren England
Ipswich
U S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Liverpool
U T U U U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 12. · Liverpool 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.1 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.4 6
3 Hull 2 2 0 0 +3 -1.4 6
4 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +2 +2.4 6
5 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +3 +3.5 4
6 Newcastle 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.8 4
7 Everton 2 1 1 0 +2 -1.2 4
8 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.4 4
9 Brighton 2 1 0 1 +3 +2.0 3
10 Man United 2 1 0 1 +1 +3.4 3
11 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.1 3
12 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.4 3
13 Liverpool 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.9 2
14 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.7 1
15 Bournemouth 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.3 1
16 Fulham 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.0 0
17 Coventry 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.1 0
18 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 -5 -0.7 0
19 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.2 0
20 Tottenham 2 0 0 2 -5 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Liverpool
6′
Alexander Isak 0–1
Cody Gakpo
9′
Alexander Isak 0–2
Cody Gakpo
10′
🟨 Alexis Mac Allister
Julio Enciso 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
52′
🟨 Jérémy Jacquet
57′
🟨 Milos Kerkez
64′
🔁 Ryan Gravenberch
↦ Alexander Isak
64′
🔁 Bradley Barcola
↦ Víctor Muñoz
Jack Clarke 🔁
↦ Daizen Maeda
66′
Zian Flemming 🔁
↦ Emersonn
66′
69′
ℹ️ Dominik Szoboszlai
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Abdoul Ouattara 🔁
↦ Exequiel Palacios
78′
Kasey McAteer 🔁
↦ Abdul Fatawu Issahaku
79′
84′
🔁 Treymaurice Nyoni
↦ Alexis Mac Allister
91′
🔁 Lewis Koumas
↦ Florian Wirtz
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
37 K. Scherpen G
26 D. O'Shea D
6 I. Diop D
24 J. Greaves D
3 L. Davis D
23 S. Lukić M
25 E. Palacios M
7 A. Fatawu M
10 J. Enciso M
38 D. Maeda M
19 Emersonn F
Bench (9)
20 K. McAteer
32 M. Núñez
12 Florentino
42 A. Ouattara
4 C. Kipré
2 D. Furlong
28 C. Walton
47 J. Clarke
9 Z. Flemming

Coach: G. O'Neil

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
1 Alisson Becker G
33 R. Araújo D
5 J. Jacquet D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
10 A. Mac Allister M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
18 C. Gakpo M
7 F. Wirtz M
23 Víctor Muñoz M
9 A. Isak F
Bench (9)
67 L. Koumas
25 G. Mamardashvili
21 K. Tsimikas
30 J. Frimpong
3 W. Endo
38 R. Gravenberch
42 T. Nyoni
29 B. Barcola
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,48
U
4,80
B ✓
1,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,11
U1,5
6,00
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
2,99
O3,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
1,78
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,50
BLS nei ✓
2,50

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.