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Eliteserien

Referee: T Hagen

Valerenga

S S T T T

3–3

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

48%

41%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

67%

63%

Both score Ø 58%

48%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 8

6 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Sarpsborg 08 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	27	22	3	2	+41	69
2	Bodo/Glimt	27	16	6	5	+43	54
3	Rosenborg	27	14	8	5	+23	50
4	Lillestrom	27	15	5	7	+16	50
5	Valerenga	27	13	3	11	+4	42
6	Tromso	27	9	11	7	-4	38
7	Odd	27	11	5	11	-8	38
8	Sarpsborg 08	27	11	3	13	+2	36
9	Aalesund	27	9	8	10	-10	35
10	Viking	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Stromsgodset	27	9	6	12	-4	33
12	Haugesund	27	9	6	12	-5	33
13	Ham-Kam	27	5	13	9	-8	28
14	Sandefjord	27	6	5	16	-24	23
15	Kristiansund	27	4	6	17	-27	18
16	Jerv	27	5	3	19	-37	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	11	2	0	+23	35
2	Molde	14	11	1	2	+25	34
3	Valerenga	13	9	1	3	+11	28
4	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	6	1	+26	27
5	Tromso	13	8	3	2	+6	27
6	Lillestrom	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Stromsgodset	13	7	2	4	+10	23
8	Odd	14	7	1	6	+0	22
9	Haugesund	14	6	3	5	+2	21
10	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	2	6	+3	20
11	Aalesund	14	5	5	4	-1	20
12	Viking	13	5	4	4	+5	19
13	Ham-Kam	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Jerv	14	4	2	8	-12	14
15	Kristiansund	13	3	4	6	-6	13
16	Sandefjord	13	1	5	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	13	11	2	0	+16	35
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	0	4	+17	27
3	Lillestrom	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	1	7	-1	16
5	Odd	13	4	4	5	-8	16
6	Rosenborg	14	3	6	5	+0	15
7	Viking	14	4	3	7	-7	15
8	Aalesund	13	4	3	6	-9	15
9	Sandefjord	14	5	0	9	-13	15
10	Valerenga	14	4	2	8	-7	14
11	Haugesund	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Tromso	14	1	8	5	-10	11
13	Ham-Kam	13	1	7	5	-9	10
14	Stromsgodset	14	2	4	8	-14	10
15	Kristiansund	14	1	2	11	-21	5
16	Jerv	13	1	1	11	-25	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.