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Coupe de France
Referee: K Barbin
Stade Plabennec
1–0
Full-time
Cholet

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
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U1,5 ✓
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.