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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Heerenveen

U T U S S

1–2

Full-time

Utrecht

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

30%

50%

Average goals

1,9

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Utrecht 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+28	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+19	24
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	2	2	+9	23
5	Twente	10	7	1	2	+13	22
6	Sparta Rotterdam	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Waalwijk	11	3	5	3	+3	14
8	Heerenveen	10	3	5	2	+1	14
9	Excelsior	11	4	1	6	-14	13
10	For Sittard	11	3	3	5	-5	12
11	Utrecht	10	3	3	4	-6	12
12	Nijmegen	11	1	8	2	+0	11
13	Vitesse	11	3	2	6	-9	11
14	Groningen	11	3	2	6	-10	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Cambuur	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	FC Emmen	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Volendam	11	1	3	7	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Twente	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
4	Sparta Rotterdam	6	4	0	2	+7	12
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	-2	9
7	Waalwijk	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	For Sittard	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	FC Emmen	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Cambuur	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Volendam	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	0	3	+3	9
5	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
6	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Utrecht	5	2	1	2	-4	7
8	Nijmegen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-12	4
17	Volendam	6	0	3	3	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.