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Coupe de France

Referee: E Douart

Saint-Grégoire

0–1

Full-time

Stade Pontivy

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Saint-Grégoire Stade Pontivy

M. Barry 🔁

↦ F. Sdiri

32′

33′

⚽ N. Le Gouellec 0–1

Half-time 0–1

46′

🔁 F. Audo

↦ B. Razer

49′

🔁 K. Lim

↦ C. Le Gal

R. Benoist 🔁

↦ Y. Charbonnel

71′

C. Meril 🔁

↦ M. Diop

79′

89′

🔁 A. Rivallain

↦ H. Mafounda

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Saint-Grégoire

Y. Charbonnel

C. Tricault

B. Danielou

K. Drougard

A. Le Bris

T. Le Guern

F. Sdiri

K. Toulmout

T. Texier

G. Michel

M. Diop

Bench (7)

M. Barry

R. Benoist

C. Meril

D. Kakpegnan

J. Caruge

V. Bederic

W. Jesperier

Coach: S. Balluais

Stade Pontivy

T. Ecalard

M. Le Guevel

J. Rivalan

C. Le Gal

B. Razer

T. Da Costa

J. Guehenneux

N. Le Gouellec

J. Josset

H. Mafounda

R. Kingo Bonkene

Bench (5)

F. Audo

K. Lim

A. Rivallain

G. Le Douarin

G. Tissaud

Coach: D. Le Goff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

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B ✓

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5

–

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U1,5 ✓

–

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O2,5

–

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U2,5 ✓

–

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O3,5

–

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U3,5 ✓

–

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

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BLS nei ✓

–

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Saint-Grégoire

Stade Pontivy

Odds comparison

Recent matches