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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Huddersfield
U S T T U
1–0
Full-time
Millwall
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Championship · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
53%
44%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 24. · Millwall 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 17 8 8 1 +15 32
2 QPR 17 9 3 5 +6 30
3 Blackburn 17 10 0 7 +4 30
4 Sheffield United 17 8 5 4 +12 29
5 Swansea 17 8 4 5 +0 28
6 Millwall 16 8 2 6 +3 26
7 Norwich 17 7 4 6 +4 25
8 Reading 16 8 1 7 -4 25
9 Luton 16 6 6 4 +2 24
10 Watford 16 6 5 5 +3 23
11 Birmingham 17 6 5 6 +3 23
12 Rotherham 16 5 7 4 +1 22
13 Bristol City 18 6 4 8 -1 22
14 Preston 17 5 7 5 -3 22
15 Sunderland 16 5 5 6 +1 20
16 Hull 16 6 2 8 -11 20
17 Stoke 16 5 4 7 -3 19
18 Blackpool 16 5 4 7 -4 19
19 Wigan 16 5 4 7 -7 19
20 Cardiff 16 5 3 8 -7 18
21 Middlesbrough 15 4 5 6 -1 17
22 Coventry 13 3 5 5 -3 14
23 West Brom 17 2 8 7 -4 14
24 Huddersfield 15 3 3 9 -6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Millwall
1–0 Y. Nakayama
M. Helik
9′
D. Holmes 🔁
↦ O. Turton
31′
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Tom Bradshaw
54′
🟨 Charlie Cresswell
59′
🔁 T. Burey
↦ S. Malone
60′
🔁 B. Afobe
↦ T. Bradshaw
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ D. Ward
68′
76′
🔁 G. Honeyman
↦ D. McNamara
77′
🔁 M. Bennett
↦ A. Voglsammer
Michał Helik 🟨
78′
82′
🟨 Tyler Burey
83′
🔁 G. Evans
↦ B. Mitchell
Sorba Thomas 🟨
84′
W. Boyle 🔁
↦ D. Kasumu
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
21 L. Nicholls G
2 O. Turton D
32 T. Lees D
39 M. Helik D
33 Y. Nakayama D
18 D. Kasumu M
24 E. Camara M
7 S. Thomas M
22 J. Rudoni M
30 B. Jackson M
25 D. Ward F
Bench (7)
19 D. Holmes
9 J. Rhodes
12 W. Boyle
35 B. Diarra
41 N. Bilokapić
5 J. Russell
14 J. Ruffels

Coach: M. Fotheringham

Millwall

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
2 D. McNamara D
15 C. Cresswell D
5 J. Cooper D
11 S. Malone D
16 J. Shackleton M
8 B. Mitchell M
21 A. Voglsammer M
10 Z. Flemming M
17 C. Styles M
9 T. Bradshaw F
Bench (7)
14 T. Burey
7 B. Afobe
39 G. Honeyman
20 M. Bennett
6 G. Evans
33 B. Bialkowski
23 G. Saville

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,02
U
3,22
B
2,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.