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Coupe de France
Referee: B Lalbie
Pays de Cassel
2–1
Full-time
Chaumont

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Gobelins 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Dunkerque 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Granville 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Jura Sud Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Avranches 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Thiers 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Grasse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Reipertswiller 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Olympique St Quentin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Aiglon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Onet-le-Château 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Roche Saint-Genest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Chateauroux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Niort 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Lyon Duchere 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Évreux 27 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Stade Pontivy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Stade Béthunois 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Stade Plabennec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Alençon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Le Havre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Caen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Montauban TG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Olympique d'Alès 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Le Mans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Angoulême 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Oissel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Poissy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Orvault SF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Toulon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Aubervilliers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Vannes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Chambéry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Valenciennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Red Star 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Gueugnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Châteaubriant 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Lannion 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 St Etienne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Rodez 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Prix-lès-Mézières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Bastia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Ergué-Gaberic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Bourges Foot 18 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Saint-Apollinaire 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Velay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Nancy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Golden Lion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Feurs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Gallia Lucciana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Mérignac-Arlac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Saint-Priest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Grand-Quevilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Saint-Grégoire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Éperlecques 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 NDC Angers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Les Ulis 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Vaulx 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Andrézieux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Chartres-de-Bretagne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Fréjus St-Raphaël 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Cournon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Geispolsheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Illzach Modenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Salinieres Aigues Mortes 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Beauvais 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Mareuil 1 0 0 1 -5 0
99 Liancourt Clermont 1 0 0 1 -5 0
100 Diables Noirs 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
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BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.