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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Valerenga

S T U U S

4–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 10/8 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 59%

80%

38%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 0

6 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	11	8	2	1	+17	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	2	3	+14	23
3	Kristiansund	10	5	2	3	-1	17
4	Valerenga	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Viking	10	5	1	4	-2	16
6	Rosenborg	11	4	3	4	+4	15
7	Odd	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Haugesund	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Stromsgodset	9	3	2	4	-5	11
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Sandefjord	8	3	0	5	-6	9
13	Tromso	10	2	3	5	-7	9
14	Mjondalen	8	1	4	3	-1	7
15	Stabaek	9	1	3	5	-9	6
16	Brann	11	1	2	8	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	1	1	+13	16
2	Molde	6	5	0	1	+12	15
3	Stromsgodset	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	+6	10
5	Haugesund	4	3	1	0	+6	10
6	Viking	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Kristiansund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Lillestrom	4	3	0	1	+2	9
9	Odd	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	Valerenga	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Brann	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Stabaek	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Mjondalen	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Sarpsborg 08	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Tromso	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Valerenga	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Odd	6	2	2	2	+0	8
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	1	2	+1	7
5	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Tromso	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Viking	5	2	0	3	-7	6
9	Rosenborg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
10	Mjondalen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Lillestrom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Haugesund	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Stabaek	5	0	2	3	-6	2
15	Brann	6	0	1	5	-10	1
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.