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LaLiga2
Referee: Iván Caparrós
Burgos
U S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Ibiza
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 29%
8%
50%
Average goals
0,9
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burgos 3. · Ibiza 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 13 7 5 1 +11 26
2 Alaves 13 7 5 1 +5 26
3 Burgos 12 5 6 1 +5 21
4 Granada 12 6 2 4 +5 20
5 Cartagena 12 6 2 4 +4 20
6 Huesca 13 5 5 3 +4 20
7 Albacete 12 5 5 2 +3 20
8 Levante 12 5 4 3 +4 19
9 Eibar 12 5 4 3 +3 19
10 Sp Gijon 12 5 4 3 +2 19
11 Andorra 13 5 3 5 +1 18
12 Villarreal B 12 4 4 4 -1 16
13 Zaragoza 13 4 4 5 -1 16
14 Tenerife 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Leganes 13 4 2 7 -3 14
16 Santander 13 3 5 5 -3 14
17 Oviedo 13 3 4 6 -4 13
18 Ponferradina 13 3 4 6 -7 13
19 Lugo 12 3 3 6 -3 12
20 Ibiza 12 3 2 7 -8 11
21 Malaga 12 2 3 7 -8 9
22 Mirandes 12 1 5 6 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burgos Ibiza
1–0 Mourad
Raúl Navarro
4′
Miguel Muñoz Mora 🟨
21′
Raúl Navarro 🟨
27′
Miguel Atienza 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
50′
ℹ️ Cristian Herrera
VAR: Goal cancelled
Gaspar Campos 🔁
↦ Raúl Navarro
66′
Grego Sierra 🔁
↦ Pablo Valcarce
66′
71′
🔁 Ekain Zenitagoia
↦ Nolito
72′
🔁 Darío Poveda
↦ Sergio Castel
82′
🔁 M. Bogusz
↦ Coke
82′
🔁 Miki Villar
↦ Cristian Herrera
82′
🔁 Suleiman Camara
↦ K. Appin
Juan Artola 🔁
↦ Álex Bermejo
83′
84′
🟨 Alejandro Gálvez
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
87′
Unai Elguezabal 🟨
88′
Jesús Areso 🔁
↦ Mourad
90′
2–0 Juan Artola
Jesús Areso
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
3 Fran García D
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
8 Pablo Valcarce F
9 Mourad F
10 Álex Bermejo F
Bench (9)
11 Gaspar Campos
20 Grego Sierra
7 Juan Artola
19 Jesús Areso
1 Dani Barrio
4 Míchel Zabaco
21 Saúl Berjón
23 José Matos
15 Juan Hernández

Coach: Julián Calero

Ibiza

4-4-2
13 Daniel Fuzato G
23 Coke D
4 David Goldar D
6 Alejandro Gálvez D
24 G. Escobar D
7 Cristian Herrera M
5 P. Diop M
14 Iván Morante M
9 Nolito M
20 K. Appin F
17 Sergio Castel F
Bench (12)
10 Ekain Zenitagoia
19 Darío Poveda
8 M. Bogusz
22 Miki Villar
28 Suleiman Camara
3 Martín Pascual
21 Zé Carlos
27 Álvaro García
1 Germán Parreño
2 Fran Grimà
29 Ismael Ruiz
16 M. Azeez

Coach: Anquela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,00
B
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,61
U2,5 ✓
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Iván Caparrós · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.