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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Valencia
U S U U T
0–1
Full-time
Barcelona
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 59%
36%
82%
Points per game
1,4
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
64%
73%
Both score Ø 41%
64%
18%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,5
Conceded
1,2
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
3 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 10. · Barcelona 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 10 1 0 +19 31
2 Barcelona 11 9 1 1 +24 28
3 Ath Madrid 12 7 2 3 +8 23
4 Sociedad 11 7 1 3 +3 22
5 Betis 11 6 2 3 +6 20
6 Ath Bilbao 11 5 3 3 +7 18
7 Villarreal 11 5 3 3 +7 18
8 Vallecano 12 5 3 4 +3 18
9 Osasuna 11 5 2 4 +0 17
10 Valencia 11 4 3 4 +5 15
11 Valladolid 11 4 2 5 -4 14
12 Mallorca 12 3 4 5 -3 13
13 Almeria 12 4 1 7 -5 13
14 Espanol 12 2 5 5 -5 11
15 Celta 12 3 2 7 -11 11
16 Getafe 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Sevilla 12 2 4 6 -8 10
18 Cadiz 12 2 4 6 -16 10
19 Girona 11 2 3 6 -4 9
20 Elche 11 0 4 7 -18 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Barcelona
Marcos André 🔁
↦ E. Cavani
18′
21′
🟨 Eric García
42′
🔁 Marcos Alonso
↦ Eric García
45′
🟨 Marcos Alonso
Half-time 0–0
Samuel Lino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
56′
🔁 Gavi
↦ Sergio Busquets
56′
🔁 Ferran Torres
↦ O. Dembélé
57′
🔁 Raphinha
↦ Ansu Fati
Samuel Lino 🟨
67′
Samu Castillejo 🔁
↦ J. Kluivert
72′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ André Almeida
72′
74′
🔁 Piqué
↦ J. Koundé
Jesús Vázquez 🔁
↦ Thierry Correia
80′
Hugo Guillamón 🟨
84′
89′
🟨 Gavi
92′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
93′
R. Lewandowski 0–1
Raphinha
Samu Castillejo 🟨
97′
Dimitri Foulquier 🟨
97′
97′
🟨 Ferran Torres
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valencia

4-3-3
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
24 E. Cömert D
14 José Gayà D
20 D. Foulquier M
6 Hugo Guillamón M
18 André Almeida M
9 J. Kluivert F
7 E. Cavani F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
22 Marcos André
11 Samu Castillejo
3 Toni Lato
21 Jesús Vázquez
29 Fran Pérez
19 Hugo Duro
33 Cristhian Mosquera
13 Cristian Rivero
1 Iago Herrerín
41 Tiago Ribeiro
35 Jesús Santiago
15 C. Özkacar

Coach: G. Gattuso

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
28 Balde D
23 J. Koundé D
24 Eric García D
18 Jordi Alba D
21 F. de Jong M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
7 O. Dembélé F
9 R. Lewandowski F
10 Ansu Fati F
Bench (10)
17 Marcos Alonso
30 Gavi
11 Ferran Torres
22 Raphinha
3 Piqué
2 Héctor Bellerín
36 Arnau Tenas
26 Iñaki Peña
32 Pablo Torre
19 F. Kessie

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,29
U
4,38
B ✓
1,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,35
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.