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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Ein Frankfurt
T S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Dortmund
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
55%
55%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
64%
36%
Average goals
3,8
2,9
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 4. · Dortmund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 7 4 1 +28 25
2 Union Berlin 11 7 2 2 +11 23
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 RB Leipzig 12 5 4 3 +4 19
6 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 19
7 Werder Bremen 12 5 3 4 +3 18
8 Mainz 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 +5 17
10 M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 +2 16
11 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
12 Wolfsburg 12 3 5 4 -2 14
13 Augsburg 12 4 2 6 -6 14
14 Hertha 12 2 5 5 -3 11
15 Stuttgart 12 2 5 5 -6 11
16 Leverkusen 12 2 3 7 -9 9
17 Bochum 12 2 1 9 -21 7
18 Schalke 04 11 1 3 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Sebastian Rode 🟨
-5′
Luca Pellegrini 🟨
16′
20′
J. Brandt 0–1
D. Malen
1–1 D. Kamada
R. Kolo Muani
26′
Half-time 1–2
52′
J. Bellingham 1–2
Y. Moukoko
Jesper Lindstrøm 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 E. Can
↦ J. Brandt
61′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ D. Malen
61′
🔁 A. Modeste
↦ Y. Moukoko
66′
🟨 Salih Özcan
69′
🔁 M. Wolf
↦ K. Adeyemi
70′
🟨 Emre Can
D. Sow 🔁
↦ S. Rode
72′
L. Alario 🔁
↦ J. Lindstrøm
77′
81′
🟨 Mats Hummels
R. Borré 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
84′
Kevin Trapp 🟨
95′
Tuta 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Jude Bellingham
95′
🟨 Giovanni Reyna
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
6 K. Jakić D
2 E. Ndicka D
26 E. Ebimbe M
15 D. Kamada M
17 S. Rode M
33 L. Pellegrini M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
8 D. Sow
21 L. Alario
19 R. Borré
22 T. Chandler
11 F. Alidou
18 A. Touré
4 J. Onguéné
5 H. Smolčić
40 D. Ramaj

Coach: O. Glasner

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
10 T. Hazard D
22 J. Bellingham M
6 S. Özcan M
27 K. Adeyemi M
19 J. Brandt M
21 D. Malen M
18 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (9)
23 E. Can
7 G. Reyna
20 A. Modeste
17 M. Wolf
47 A. Papadopoulos
30 F. Passlack
33 A. Meyer
44 S. Coulibaly
36 T. Rothe

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,81
U
3,67
B ✓
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,59
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.