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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
3–1
Full-time
For Sittard
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
55%
Both score Ø 52%
40%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 6. · For Sittard 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 11 9 1 1 +28 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 0 3 +19 24
3 Feyenoord 11 7 3 1 +15 24
4 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 2 2 +9 23
5 Twente 10 7 1 2 +13 22
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Utrecht 11 4 3 4 -5 15
8 Waalwijk 11 3 5 3 +3 14
9 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 +0 14
10 Excelsior 11 4 1 6 -14 13
11 For Sittard 11 3 3 5 -5 12
12 Nijmegen 11 1 8 2 +0 11
13 Vitesse 11 3 2 6 -9 11
14 Groningen 11 3 2 6 -10 11
15 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 4 5 -5 10
16 Cambuur 11 2 2 7 -10 8
17 FC Emmen 11 1 3 7 -15 6
18 Volendam 11 1 3 7 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam For Sittard
Bart Vriends 🟨
18′
19′
T. Noslin 0–1
Ivo Pinto
1–1 A. Verschueren
S. Mijnans
26′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Rodrigo Guth
↦ D. Siovas
53′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
2–1 V. van Crooij
54′
58′
🔁 D. Erdoğan
↦ A. Ferati
59′
🔁 Úmaro Embaló
↦ T. Noslin
D. Abels 🔁
↦ S. Sambo
65′
J. van Mullem 🔁
↦ K. Saito
65′
72′
🟨 Burak Yılmaz
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ M. Pinto
76′
76′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
M. Engels 🔁
↦ T. Lauritsen
80′
3–1 A. Verschueren
V. van Crooij
83′
89′
🔁 C. Bassett
↦ Ximo Navarro
J. Lokilo 🔁
↦ A. Verschueren
94′
M. Eerdhuijzen 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-2-3-1
1 N. Olij G
2 S. Sambo D
3 B. Vriends D
4 A. Auassar D
5 M. Pinto D
8 A. Verschueren M
6 J. Kitolano M
11 K. Saito M
10 S. Mijnans M
7 V. van Crooij M
9 T. Lauritsen F
Bench (11)
12 D. Abels
21 J. van Mullem
15 A. Meijers
19 M. Engels
17 J. Lokilo
14 M. Eerdhuijzen
16 P. Brouwer
13 A. Drakpe
20 Y. Schoonderwaldt
30 D. van Crooij
18 M. Tahiri

Coach: M. Steijn

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
2 Ximo Navarro D
33 D. Siovas D
5 G. Cox D
15 O. Özyakup M
19 A. Ferati M
77 T. Noslin M
10 M. Seuntjens M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
17 B. Yılmaz F
Bench (11)
14 Rodrigo Guth
21 D. Erdoğan
85 Úmaro Embaló
11 P. Gladon
8 C. Bassett
22 T. Hendriks
61 R. Vita
1 Y. van Osch
4 R. Janssen
18 M. van Beijnen
34 T. Taşçı

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,95
U
3,62
B
3,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.