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Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

6–2

Full-time

Mainz

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,8

Scored

3,5

2,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

3,6

2,6

Scored

2,9

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

70% Possession 30%

25 Shots 13

12 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Mainz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Bayern Munich	11	6	4	1	+24	22
3	Freiburg	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	2	3	+6	20
5	Dortmund	11	6	1	4	+4	19
6	Werder Bremen	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Mainz	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Hoffenheim	11	5	2	4	+5	17
9	RB Leipzig	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	M'gladbach	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	FC Koln	11	4	4	3	-3	16
12	Augsburg	11	4	2	5	-5	14
13	Hertha	12	2	5	5	-3	11
14	Wolfsburg	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Leverkusen	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Stuttgart	11	1	5	5	-7	8
17	Bochum	11	2	1	8	-17	7
18	Schalke 04	11	1	3	7	-15	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Union Berlin	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+6	12
5	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+11	11
6	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	FC Koln	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Hoffenheim	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Werder Bremen	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Hertha	6	1	4	1	+0	7
12	Bochum	6	2	1	3	-6	7
13	Mainz	5	1	3	1	+2	6
14	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Leverkusen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Augsburg	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	6	4	0	2	+1	12
2	Bayern Munich	6	3	2	1	+13	11
3	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Union Berlin	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Augsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Dortmund	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	FC Koln	6	1	3	2	-6	6
11	Wolfsburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Hertha	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	M'gladbach	5	0	4	1	-4	4
14	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-6	3
16	RB Leipzig	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Bochum	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.