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Eliteserien

Referee: T Hagen

Sarpsborg 08

T T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Valerenga

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 33%

30%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

52%

57%

Both score Ø 65%

52%

78%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 0

4 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 13. · Valerenga 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	24	15	6	3	+28	51
2	Molde	24	14	5	5	+29	47
3	Viking	24	13	5	6	+8	44
4	Rosenborg	24	12	6	6	+19	42
5	Kristiansund	24	12	3	9	-3	39
6	Lillestrom	24	11	5	8	+4	38
7	Valerenga	23	8	10	5	+7	34
8	Haugesund	24	9	5	10	+4	32
9	Stromsgodset	24	8	6	10	-2	30
10	Sandefjord	24	8	5	11	-11	29
11	Tromso	24	7	7	10	-10	28
12	Odd	24	7	7	10	-11	28
13	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	5	11	-10	26
14	Brann	24	4	8	12	-16	20
15	Mjondalen	24	3	9	12	-12	18
16	Stabaek	24	4	6	14	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	12	9	1	2	+23	28
2	Kristiansund	12	9	1	2	+11	28
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	3	1	+18	27
4	Rosenborg	12	8	2	2	+18	26
5	Haugesund	12	8	2	2	+15	26
6	Viking	12	8	2	2	+11	26
7	Stromsgodset	12	7	3	2	+16	24
8	Valerenga	12	5	6	1	+10	21
9	Lillestrom	12	6	2	4	+5	20
10	Sandefjord	13	5	4	4	+2	19
11	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	4	3	+4	16
12	Odd	11	4	3	4	+2	15
13	Tromso	12	3	4	5	-3	13
14	Brann	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	Mjondalen	12	2	5	5	+3	11
16	Stabaek	12	2	3	7	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	3	2	+10	24
2	Molde	12	5	4	3	+6	19
3	Lillestrom	12	5	3	4	-1	18
4	Viking	12	5	3	4	-3	18
5	Rosenborg	12	4	4	4	+1	16
6	Tromso	12	4	3	5	-7	15
7	Valerenga	11	3	4	4	-3	13
8	Odd	13	3	4	6	-13	13
9	Kristiansund	12	3	2	7	-14	11
10	Sandefjord	11	3	1	7	-13	10
11	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	1	8	-14	10
12	Stabaek	12	2	3	7	-12	9
13	Brann	12	1	4	7	-12	7
14	Mjondalen	12	1	4	7	-15	7
15	Haugesund	12	1	3	8	-11	6
16	Stromsgodset	12	1	3	8	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.