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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kamphuis

Go Ahead Eagles

U U U S U

3–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

18%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

36%

64%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

3,2

3,8

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 15. · Excelsior 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+28	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	0	3	+19	24
3	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+15	24
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	2	2	+9	23
5	Twente	10	7	1	2	+13	22
6	Sparta Rotterdam	11	6	2	3	+7	20
7	Utrecht	11	4	3	4	-5	15
8	Waalwijk	11	3	5	3	+3	14
9	Heerenveen	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Excelsior	11	4	1	6	-14	13
11	For Sittard	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Nijmegen	11	1	8	2	+0	11
13	Vitesse	11	3	2	6	-9	11
14	Groningen	11	3	2	6	-10	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Cambuur	11	2	2	7	-10	8
17	FC Emmen	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Volendam	11	1	3	7	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Twente	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Ajax	5	4	1	0	+20	13
5	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+9	11
6	Excelsior	5	3	0	2	-2	9
7	Waalwijk	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Groningen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	For Sittard	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	FC Emmen	5	1	3	1	-2	6
12	Nijmegen	6	0	5	1	-1	5
13	Heerenveen	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Go Ahead Eagles	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Cambuur	6	1	0	5	-5	3
18	Volendam	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	1	1	+6	13
4	Utrecht	6	3	1	2	-3	10
5	PSV Eindhoven	6	3	0	3	+3	9
6	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Twente	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Nijmegen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
9	Waalwijk	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Vitesse	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Go Ahead Eagles	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	For Sittard	6	1	2	3	-5	5
14	Cambuur	5	1	2	2	-5	5
15	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-8	4
16	Excelsior	6	1	1	4	-12	4
17	Volendam	6	0	3	3	-12	3
18	FC Emmen	6	0	0	6	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.