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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Liverpool

S S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Leeds

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

2,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,3

This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

36%

18%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

22 Shots 14

10 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 9

14 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 3

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 9. · Leeds 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	12	9	2	1	+26	29
2	Arsenal	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Tottenham	13	8	2	3	+10	26
4	Newcastle	13	6	6	1	+14	24
5	Chelsea	12	6	3	3	+2	21
6	Man United	11	6	2	3	+0	20
7	Fulham	13	5	4	4	+0	19
8	Brighton	12	5	3	4	+4	18
9	Liverpool	11	4	4	3	+9	16
10	Crystal Palace	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Brentford	13	3	6	4	-3	15
12	West Ham	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	Everton	13	3	5	5	-1	14
14	Bournemouth	13	3	4	6	-16	13
15	Southampton	13	3	3	7	-9	12
16	Aston Villa	13	3	3	7	-9	12
17	Leicester	13	3	2	8	-4	11
18	Wolves	13	2	4	7	-13	10
19	Leeds	11	2	3	6	-5	9
20	Nott'm Forest	12	2	3	7	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Newcastle	7	4	3	0	+11	15
3	Tottenham	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	+7	15
5	Liverpool	6	4	2	0	+12	14
6	Crystal Palace	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Brentford	7	3	3	1	+6	12
8	Fulham	7	3	3	1	+2	12
9	Brighton	6	3	2	1	+6	11
10	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+5	11
11	Man United	5	3	1	1	+4	10
12	Aston Villa	6	3	1	2	+3	10
13	West Ham	6	3	1	2	+2	10
14	Leicester	7	2	2	3	+3	8
15	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Everton	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Bournemouth	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Wolves	6	2	2	2	-5	8
19	Nott'm Forest	6	2	1	3	-2	7
20	Southampton	6	1	3	2	-1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Man City	6	3	2	1	+5	11
3	Tottenham	7	3	2	2	+0	11
4	Chelsea	7	3	1	3	-3	10
5	Man United	6	3	1	2	-4	10
6	Newcastle	6	2	3	1	+3	9
7	Brighton	6	2	1	3	-2	7
8	Fulham	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Everton	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Southampton	7	2	0	5	-8	6
11	Bournemouth	6	1	2	3	-14	5
12	West Ham	6	1	1	4	-3	4
13	Crystal Palace	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Leicester	6	1	0	5	-7	3
15	Brentford	6	0	3	3	-9	3
16	Liverpool	5	0	2	3	-3	2
17	Wolves	7	0	2	5	-8	2
18	Aston Villa	7	0	2	5	-12	2
19	Nott'm Forest	6	0	2	4	-13	2
20	Leeds	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.