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Eliteserien

Referee: M Grøtta

Sarpsborg 08

S T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Valerenga

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,8

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 39%

46%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

69%

54%

Both score Ø 58%

69%

46%

Average goals

3,9

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

10 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 8. · Valerenga 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	9	3	2	+15	30
2	Lillestrom	14	9	3	2	+14	30
3	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+12	25
4	Viking	15	7	4	4	+8	25
5	Rosenborg	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	Stromsgodset	14	6	3	5	-1	21
7	Aalesund	14	5	5	4	-2	20
8	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	1	6	+7	19
9	Odd	14	6	1	7	-5	19
10	Ham-Kam	14	3	8	3	+1	17
11	Sandefjord	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Valerenga	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Haugesund	14	3	4	7	-5	13
14	Tromso	12	2	7	3	-7	13
15	Jerv	14	3	2	9	-15	11
16	Kristiansund	11	0	1	10	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Molde	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Viking	8	4	3	1	+9	15
4	Rosenborg	6	4	2	0	+7	14
5	Bodo/Glimt	7	3	4	0	+9	13
6	Stromsgodset	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Aalesund	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+3	10
9	Ham-Kam	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+0	10
11	Jerv	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Tromso	6	2	3	1	-1	9
13	Odd	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Haugesund	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Sandefjord	5	0	2	3	-6	2
16	Kristiansund	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sandefjord	8	5	0	3	+3	15
2	Molde	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Lillestrom	7	3	3	1	+3	12
4	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	0	3	+3	12
5	Viking	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Odd	7	3	1	3	-2	10
7	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	0	3	+4	9
8	Aalesund	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Stromsgodset	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Ham-Kam	6	1	4	1	+0	7
11	Rosenborg	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Haugesund	7	1	2	4	-3	5
13	Tromso	6	0	4	2	-6	4
14	Valerenga	7	1	1	5	-7	4
15	Jerv	6	0	1	5	-10	1
16	Kristiansund	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.