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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Servette
T U U S U
2–2
Full-time
Lugano
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Servette Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
31%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%
9 Shots 24
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Servette 2. · Lugano 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +21 28
2 Servette 13 6 5 2 +4 23
3 Luzern 13 5 4 4 +5 19
4 Sion 13 5 4 4 +0 19
5 St. Gallen 13 5 3 5 +4 18
6 Basel 12 4 5 3 +5 17
7 Grasshoppers 14 4 5 5 -2 17
8 Lugano 13 5 1 7 -4 16
9 Winterthur 13 3 3 7 -17 12
10 Zurich 13 0 6 7 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Oct -22 Lugano – Servette 1–0 11. May -22 Servette – Lugano 2–2 26. Feb -22 Lugano – Servette 2–0 31. Oct -21 Lugano – Servette 2–1 1. Aug -21 Servette – Lugano 0–2

Match report

Servette Lugano
1–0 S. Rouiller ⚽
P. Pflücke
3′
23′
🟨 Albian Hajdari
2–0 M. Stevanović ⚽
T. Cognat
26′
41′
⚽ Ž. Celar 2–1
Steve Rouiller ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
43′
Steve Rouiller 🟥
44′
45′
🔁 B. Babic
↦ Ž. Celar
Half-time 2–1
A. Baron 🔁
↦ D. Douline
46′
Diogo Monteiro 🔁
↦ B. Fofana
46′
51′
🟨 Milton Valenzuela
61′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
Diogo Monteiro 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 I. Aliseda
↦ H. Mahou
68′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ J. Sabbatini
68′
🔁 M. Haile-Selassie
↦ R. Steffen
R. Rodelin 🔁
↦ P. Pflücke
70′
B. Céspedes 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
70′
76′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ M. Bottani
82′
⚽ O. Doumbia 2–2
M. Haile-Selassie
T. Valls 🔁
↦ T. Cognat
85′
87′
🟨 Milton Valenzuela
87′
🟥 Milton Valenzuela
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Servette

4-3-3
32 J. Frick G
2 M. Diallo D
33 N. Vouilloz D
4 S. Rouiller D
3 G. Clichy D
8 T. Cognat M
28 D. Douline M
7 P. Pflücke M
9 M. Stevanović F
11 B. Fofana F
17 D. Kutesa F
Bench (9)
34 A. Baron
35 Diogo Monteiro
23 R. Rodelin
5 B. Céspedes
15 T. Valls
26 M. Bauer
41 A. Dias
25 S. Camara
40 E. Omeragic

Coach: A. Geiger

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
5 A. Hajdari D
17 M. Valenzuela D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
22 R. Steffen M
10 M. Bottani M
18 H. Mahou M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (9)
27 B. Babic
31 I. Aliseda
25 U. Bislimi
11 M. Haile-Selassie
47 M. Amoura
4 K. Hajrizi
29 H. Mahmoud
77 R. Macek
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.