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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Valerenga

S U S S U

1–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 42%

52%

32%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

56%

52%

Both score Ø 52%

64%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 3. · Sarpsborg 08 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	26	23	2	1	+61	71
2	Molde	26	17	2	7	+34	53
3	Valerenga	25	13	7	5	+13	46
4	Rosenborg	26	13	6	7	+13	45
5	Kristiansund	26	11	10	5	+13	43
6	Odd	25	13	3	9	+8	42
7	Viking	26	11	6	9	+3	39
8	Stabaek	26	8	10	8	-5	34
9	Haugesund	26	10	4	12	-10	34
10	Brann	26	8	7	11	-8	31
11	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	4	13	-5	28
12	Sandefjord	25	8	4	13	-13	28
13	Start	26	6	7	13	-18	25
14	Stromsgodset	26	5	9	12	-17	24
15	Mjondalen	26	6	2	18	-22	20
16	Aalesund	26	2	5	19	-47	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	13	0	0	+42	39
2	Molde	13	10	1	2	+23	31
3	Valerenga	12	8	4	0	+15	28
4	Rosenborg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Odd	13	8	2	3	+11	26
6	Kristiansund	13	6	4	3	+9	22
7	Viking	13	6	3	4	+10	21
8	Haugesund	13	6	2	5	+0	20
9	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	1	6	+6	19
10	Start	13	5	4	4	+2	19
11	Stabaek	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Stromsgodset	13	3	5	5	-6	14
13	Brann	13	3	4	6	+0	13
14	Sandefjord	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Mjondalen	13	4	0	9	-6	12
16	Aalesund	13	1	3	9	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	10	2	1	+19	32
2	Molde	13	7	1	5	+11	22
3	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+4	21
4	Rosenborg	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Valerenga	13	5	3	5	-2	18
6	Viking	13	5	3	5	-7	18
7	Brann	13	5	3	5	-8	18
8	Odd	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Sandefjord	13	5	0	8	-6	15
10	Stabaek	13	3	6	4	-7	15
11	Haugesund	13	4	2	7	-10	14
12	Stromsgodset	13	2	4	7	-11	10
13	Sarpsborg 08	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	Mjondalen	13	2	2	9	-16	8
15	Start	13	1	3	9	-20	6
16	Aalesund	13	1	2	10	-28	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.