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Coupe de France

Referee: M Apruzzese

Saint-Priest

0–1

Full-time

Lyon Duchere

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Reipertswiller	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Olympique St Quentin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Angoulême	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Oissel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Orvault SF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Toulon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Aubervilliers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Vannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chambéry	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Prix-lès-Mézières	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Velay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Golden Lion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Gallia Lucciana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Chartres-de-Bretagne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Illzach Modenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Salinieres Aigues Mortes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gobelins	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Avranches	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aiglon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Poissy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Nancy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Andrézieux	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Diables Noirs	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

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B ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5

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U1,5 ✓

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O2,5

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U2,5 ✓

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O3,5

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U3,5 ✓

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

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BLS nei ✓

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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

Recent matches