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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Molde

S S U S T

3–0

Full-time

Aalesund

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 52%

77%

27%

Points per game

2,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

68%

59%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

59%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,3

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 1. · Aalesund 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	22	17	3	2	+30	54
2	Lillestrom	23	13	5	5	+16	44
3	Rosenborg	23	12	7	4	+18	43
4	Bodo/Glimt	23	12	6	5	+26	42
5	Valerenga	23	12	3	8	+10	39
6	Viking	23	9	6	8	+3	33
7	Odd	23	10	3	10	-8	33
8	Stromsgodset	23	9	5	9	+4	32
9	Tromso	23	7	10	6	-5	31
10	Haugesund	23	8	5	10	-1	29
11	Sarpsborg 08	23	9	1	13	-3	28
12	Aalesund	22	6	7	9	-10	25
13	Ham-Kam	23	4	11	8	-4	23
14	Sandefjord	23	6	4	13	-19	22
15	Kristiansund	23	4	4	15	-21	16
16	Jerv	23	4	2	17	-36	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	11	9	2	0	+17	29
2	Lillestrom	11	8	2	1	+15	26
3	Molde	11	8	1	2	+16	25
4	Valerenga	11	8	1	2	+13	25
5	Tromso	11	7	3	1	+6	24
6	Stromsgodset	12	7	2	3	+11	23
7	Bodo/Glimt	12	5	6	1	+18	21
8	Haugesund	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Viking	11	5	4	2	+9	19
10	Odd	12	6	0	6	-1	18
11	Sarpsborg 08	12	5	1	6	-1	16
12	Ham-Kam	12	3	5	4	+0	14
13	Aalesund	11	3	4	4	-3	13
14	Jerv	12	4	1	7	-11	13
15	Kristiansund	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Sandefjord	11	1	4	6	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	11	9	2	0	+14	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	0	4	+8	21
3	Lillestrom	12	5	3	4	+1	18
4	Odd	11	4	3	4	-7	15
5	Sandefjord	12	5	0	7	-9	15
6	Rosenborg	12	3	5	4	+1	14
7	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-3	14
8	Viking	12	4	2	6	-6	14
9	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	0	7	-2	12
10	Aalesund	11	3	3	5	-7	12
11	Haugesund	11	2	3	6	-4	9
12	Ham-Kam	11	1	6	4	-4	9
13	Stromsgodset	11	2	3	6	-7	9
14	Tromso	12	0	7	5	-11	7
15	Kristiansund	12	1	1	10	-16	4
16	Jerv	11	0	1	10	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.