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Primeira Liga
Referee: António Nobre
Benfica
S S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Maritimo
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-2,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
0,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%
23 Shots 4
12 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Benfica 1. · Maritimo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 6 6 0 0 +11 18
2 Sp Braga 6 5 1 0 +16 16
3 Porto 7 5 1 1 +11 16
4 Portimonense 7 5 0 2 +2 15
5 Boavista 7 5 0 2 +0 15
6 Estoril 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 Casa Pia 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Sp Lisbon 7 3 1 3 +3 10
9 Guimaraes 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Gil Vicente 7 2 3 2 -1 9
11 Chaves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Arouca 7 2 2 3 -9 8
13 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Vizela 6 1 2 3 -2 5
15 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Famalicao 6 1 1 4 -6 4
17 Pacos Ferreira 7 0 1 6 -10 1
18 Maritimo 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Benfica Maritimo
4′
🟨 Léo
1–0 Rafa
28′
35′
🟨 Diogo Mendes
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Fábio China
↦ Antonio Zarzana
46′
🔁 L. Vega
↦ Diogo Mendes
2–0 Gonçalo Ramos
A. Bah
47′
57′
🟨 Miguel Silva
62′
🔁 S. Beltrame
↦ Cláudio Winck
62′
🔁 Edgar Costa
↦ Vítor Costa
Alejandro Grimaldo 🟨
63′
3–0 Gonçalo Ramos
Rafa
64′
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ E. Fernández
68′
Florentino 🔁
↦ Rafa
68′
75′
🔁 C. Ramírez
↦ Bruno Xadas
M. Ristić 🔁
↦ Álex Grimaldo
82′
Gilberto 🔁
↦ A. Bah
82′
4–0 David Neres
Florentino
82′
J. Brooks 🔁
↦ António Silva
88′
5–0 J. Draxler
João Mário
88′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Benfica

4-2-3-1
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 A. Bah D
66 António Silva D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
8 F. Aursnes M
13 E. Fernández M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
88 Gonçalo Ramos F
Bench (9)
93 J. Draxler
61 Florentino
23 M. Ristić
2 Gilberto
25 J. Brooks
22 Chiquinho
33 P. Musa
17 Diogo Gonçalves
77 Helton Leite

Coach: R. Schmidt

Maritimo

4-4-2
1 Miguel Silva G
2 Cláudio Winck D
3 M. Mosquera D
66 Léo Andrade D
94 Vítor Costa D
17 Antonio Zarzana M
16 Diogo Mendes M
21 João Afonso M
7 André Vidigal M
95 J. Tagueu F
23 Bruno Xadas F
Bench (8)
45 Fábio China
34 L. Vega
10 S. Beltrame
12 Edgar Costa
11 C. Ramírez
8 J. Soñora
24 Clésio
98 Vitor Eudes

Coach: João Henriques

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,11
U
9,10
B
20,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.