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Ligue 1

Referee: F Letexier

Lyon

U S S T T

0–1

Full-time

Paris SG

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

57%

86%

Points per game

1,9

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 79%

86%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

86%

43%

Average goals

3,6

4,1

Scored

2,3

3,6

Conceded

1,3

0,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 4

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 6. · Paris SG 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Paris SG	7	6	1	0	+21	19
3	Lorient	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Lens	8	5	3	0	+9	18
5	Monaco	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Lyon	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Lille	8	4	1	3	+0	13
8	Rennes	8	3	3	2	+6	12
9	Montpellier	8	4	0	4	+4	12
10	Troyes	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Clermont	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Toulouse	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Nice	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Angers	8	2	2	4	-9	8
15	Nantes	8	1	4	3	-3	7
16	Auxerre	8	2	1	5	-11	7
17	Reims	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Strasbourg	8	0	5	3	-3	5
19	Brest	8	1	2	5	-10	5
20	Ajaccio	8	1	1	6	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Lyon	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Lens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Rennes	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Lille	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Clermont	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Nantes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Troyes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Angers	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Monaco	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Strasbourg	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Reims	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Brest	4	0	2	2	-8	2
19	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Nice	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+17	12
2	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Lorient	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Lille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Nice	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Lens	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Troyes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	Clermont	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Reims	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Angers	4	1	1	2	-6	4
12	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	+3	3
13	Rennes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Brest	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Toulouse	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Ajaccio	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-8	3
18	Nantes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-2	2
20	Lyon	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.