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Premier League

Referee: D Coote

Brentford

T S U U S

0–3

Full-time

Arsenal

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brentford 9. · Arsenal 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	7	5	2	0	+17	17
2	Tottenham	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	+7	15
4	Brighton	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Man United	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	+9	9
9	Brentford	6	2	3	1	+6	9
10	Newcastle	7	1	5	1	+1	8
11	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Bournemouth	7	2	2	3	-13	8
13	Southampton	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Aston Villa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Crystal Palace	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Wolves	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Everton	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	West Ham	6	1	1	4	-5	4
19	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leicester	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Man City	3	3	0	0	+12	9
3	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+10	7
5	Brentford	3	2	1	0	+7	7
6	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Newcastle	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
14	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Nott'm Forest	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	West Ham	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Man United	3	2	0	1	-2	6
5	Tottenham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-12	4
8	West Ham	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Southampton	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Crystal Palace	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-8	1
19	Aston Villa	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Leicester	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.