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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Cremonese

T T T U U

0–4

Full-time

Lazio

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

44% Possession 56%

18 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cremonese 18. · Lazio 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	7	5	1	1	+8	16
2	Napoli	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Milan	6	4	2	0	+6	14
5	Roma	6	4	1	1	+2	13
6	Inter	7	4	0	3	+2	12
7	Lazio	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Juventus	6	2	4	0	+5	10
9	Torino	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Sassuolo	7	2	3	2	-3	9
11	Spezia	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Salernitana	7	1	4	2	+2	7
13	Empoli	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Fiorentina	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Lecce	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Bologna	7	1	3	3	-3	6
17	Verona	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Cremonese	6	0	2	4	-5	2
19	Sampdoria	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Monza	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Inter	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Milan	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Lazio	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Juventus	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Roma	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Atalanta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Bologna	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	+2	4
13	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Verona	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Empoli	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Monza	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Napoli	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Roma	4	2	1	1	-2	7
4	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Torino	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Milan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Empoli	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Lecce	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Salernitana	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Inter	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Lazio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Verona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Monza	3	0	1	2	-7	1
19	Sampdoria	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Spezia	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.